Monday, August 6, 2012

OECD Countries With Largest Growth In Government Stimulus Spending Had Slowest GDP Growth: Arthur Laffer

From The Wall Street Journal, "Arthur Laffer: The Real 'Stimulus' Record: In country after country, increased government spending acted more like a depressant than a stimulant." by Arthur Laffer:

Source: The Wall Street Journal
Of the 34 Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development nations, those with the largest spending spurts from 2007 to 2009 saw the least growth in GDP rates before and after the stimulus.

The four nations—Estonia, Ireland, the Slovak Republic and Finland—with the biggest stimulus programs had the steepest declines in growth.
The United States was no different, with greater spending (up 7.3%) followed by far lower growth rates (down 8.4%).
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Often as not, the qualification for receiving stimulus funds is the absence of work or income—such as banks and companies that fail, solar energy companies that can't make it on their own, unemployment benefits and the like. Quite simply, government taxing people more who work and then giving more money to people who don't work is a surefire recipe for less work, less output and more unemployment.
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Well, the truth is that government spending does come with debits. For every additional government dollar spent there is an additional private dollar taken. All the stimulus to the spending recipients is matched on a dollar-for-dollar basis every minute of every day by a depressant placed on the people who pay for these transfers. Or as a student of the dismal science might say, the total income effects of additional government spending always sum to zero.

Meanwhile, what economists call the substitution or price effects of stimulus spending are negative for all parties. In other words, the transfer recipient has found a way to get paid without working, which makes not working more attractive, and the transfer payer gets paid less for working, again lowering incentives to work. [Emphasis added.]

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